Monday 29 April 2013

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Markets Overview


Markets Overview

DJIA
14,784.93
72.38
0.49%
FTSE 100
6,446.31
19.89
0.31%
OIL (WTI)
93.68
0.68
0.73%
GOLD
1,466.70
13.10
0.90%
EUR-USD
1.3098
0.0067
0.52%
USD-JPY
98.1100
0.0600
0.06%
आरबीआई ने सोने के सिक्कों और गोल्ड से संबंधित निवेश उत्पादों की बिक्री को लेकर तकरीबन 30 बैंकों पर अपनी निगाहें जमा दी हैं। भारतीय रिजर्व बैंक दरअसल यह पता लगाने की कोशिश कर रहा है कि इन बैंकों के कर्मचारी इस तरह के उत्पादों की बिक्री की खातिर ग्राहकों को गुमराह तो नहीं कर रहे हैं।

Trees Don’t Grow Gold

The fall in the materials and energy sectors was not matched by the finance sector. Financial stocks were down, but not nearly as much as anything commodity related. That’s worth noting. There are at least some sectors of the market taking note of underlying events in the real economy.

Energy and materials are not sectors likely to be driven by enthusiasm for more quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve. In fact, the fall in commodities and most of the stocks in extractive industries can be seen as a market repudiation of the healing power of QE. Bernanke may be pumping up financial stocks and financial earnings, but he’s doing a whole lot of nothing for the well-being of the real economy.

It should be noted that all of this price action in gold, commodities and the stock market happened before two explosions near the finish line of the Boston Marathon late Monday afternoon. Markets have become less sensitive to these types of events over the years. But the explosions in Boston will certainly contribute to a sense of fear and uncertainty in the markets. In the past decade, those two sentiments have usually been accompanied by rising gold prices. But gold is currently in the grip of an epic liquidation.

Who is selling and why? Those are interesting questions. But ultimately, both are unknowable. It could be leveraged hedge funds who were long gold or who used gold as collateral to lever up on stocks. It could be owners of large positions in ETFs. It could be manipulation. It could be panic.

What are the “fundamentals”? That gold is an asset that is no one else’s liability, for starters. Beyond that, the last month has provided you with evidence that in a pinch, the political and monetary authorities will confiscate your savings. Central banks across the planet continue to print money and monetize government debt. These are all facts too.

It tells you that the people who control and profit from the printing and use of paper money are willing to do just about anything to retain their rank and privilege. It’s their system, and it works well for them. They do not like the gold price acting as a signal of public confidence (or lack thereof) in paper money or public finances.

But take all the emotion of wild price swings out of it, if you can. Ask yourself whether you think paper money will gain or lose value over the next 10 years. And then ask yourself if you would rather have money in the bank or precious metals in your hands. The answer to that question will tell you all you need to know.

Friday 26 April 2013

Invest in companies that everybody else is avoiding. . .


Don't get me wrong - I'm not telling you to invest in bad stocks. People are obviously avoiding them for a reason.

But sometimes, even perfectly good stocks get ignored due to some misconceptions. Those are the companies I'm telling you to go after.

Let me explain...

See, we all know there are no better companies than the large caps when it comes to stability.
  • Large caps are all well-established companies with stable earnings and no extensive liabilities.
  • They are well-managed and have consistently performed across business cycles
  • They have the resources to not only weather the downturns and disturbances, but also emerge stronger from them
  • Long-term prospects for large caps are outstanding
So the risk associated with large caps is very low, and you can be almost certain of steady returns and dividends from them year after year.  

Thursday 25 April 2013

All that Glitter's is ofcourse GOLD...

Gold and oil are both taking a hit as we write... albeit only slightly.The bulls are seeing red today. The markets are holding their muletas, and agitated investors are charging at full speed, intent on taking everything down.

“Bank of America was the biggest drag on the Dow, after it missed first-quarter earnings estimates, despite an uptick in revenue. Higher investment banking revenue was offset by lower mortgage banking income.

“Other bank stocks followed Bank of America’s lead, with shares of JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs all down more than 3%.” 

Others see the panic hitting Apple, and seem to be panicking themselves.

“Wall Street Slumps in Broad Decline, Apple Sinks,” reads one headline.

“Fears Over Weak Earnings Hit Apple,” reads another.

Lots of negative sentiment, in other words. And lots of reasons to be fearful. And when that’s the case, we can’t help but turn to our favorite investment in uncertain times... regardless of how the markets may be viewing it: gold.

Love it, hate it or just plain indifferent to it, you cannot deny that gold has existed as a form of wealth for thousands of years. And, perhaps more importantly, will likely be valued as such for thousands more.

Of course, that’s just speculation. But then, so is the belief that any paper currency will be around that long. Or any stock, corporation or government. Like most things, those entities are fleeting. And any naive faith in the contrary is as misguided as those things are transitory.

Now, you may be confused. Just this morning, in your Rude Awakening, Greg Guenthner vehemently recommended you don’t buy gold.

“I can’t make this any clearer,” Greg wrote. “You shouldn’t even consider trying to buy gold right now.”

And that’s fine... if you’re someone who decides to buy gold based on the current market price.

We prefer to purchase gold regardless of what the market thinks it’s worth. Because to us, and countless others throughout history, it will always be worth something. Which is more than we can say for the world’s plethora of flimsy fiat currencies.
 

Tuesday 23 April 2013

GOLD ETF's still a better bet to Invest....

Compulsive shoppers are queuing up outside jewellery shops in large numbers to make the most of the recent falls in gold prices. A shopper who managed to get inside a shop in Mumbai says the store resembled an overcrowded long distance local train during peak hours.

From a record high of Rs. 32500/- per 10 gm in November, the yellow metal has tumbled to Rs. 25680/- on Wednesday. However, after the recent fall there are many voices singing in the chorus about the demise of gold. Fears of Cyprus gold sale, liquidations in ETF's and unwinding of long positions by institutions in the international markets have contributed to downfall.

"Selling gold at these levels  is not is not advisable at all. Hold on to your current gold investments . Remember gold is akin to currency, in the long run, it will move up".As of  those waiting in the wings, many experts believe that they should consider investing in gold in a piecemeal manner now.

The gold prices are are very close to bottom now. Investors should not try to time the market and instead invest systematically through gold ETF's or demat gold on the exchanges like NSEL. Remember, the gold ETF's are always better than physical gold investment. Apart from better liquidity, it also eliminates the making charges and cost and risk of safe keeping. The pricing structure is also transparent.


Monday 22 April 2013

Think You Know All About Gold?

Think again. The 10 facts below will give you a better understanding of the gilded stash in your locker.

  1. We still don't own enough gold - If all the gold ever mined was made into bricks it would end up in a block 20 metres or around 60 ft wide, high up and deep. This means if all the gold in the world is gathered around it will just fill one big house.  
  2. Gold reserves will last another 12 years ..................
  3. We are  close to gold's minimum support price..........
  4. Now gold too  is made in China- Just 20 years ago, that country wasn't even on the gold map. Yet China set out to build up its gold mining capacity - and succeeded to the extent that it is now the world's biggest gold producer.
  5. Americans are going back to gold as money -More than a dozens states in the US, are preparing to adopt gold and silver coins as money, like the dollar.
  6. There is gold in your smartphones - After silver, gold is the best conductor of electricity. It also doesn't corrode or tarnish whenever it comes in contact with water. This makes the gold perfect, albeit expensive choice, for the consumer electronics industry.
  7. New York Fed's vaults hold about 23% of the world's official gold reserve.
  8. Make sure your gold is not tainted, if it is then a smuggled metal
  9. Silver still packs a punch
  10. Yes, Gold story still alive - Physical demand has picked up momentum, India was the first to respond.

Friday 19 April 2013

The Gold Crash Right

Gold rose to 1% on March 16 when Cyprus announced an unprecedented levy on bank deposits, before erasing the following two weeks.The country's finance minister said it may sell gold reserves to get international aid, helping extend a slump this week after a metal fell in bear market.

Gold price drop hasn't changed billionaire Paulson's intermediate to long- term outlook on the precious metal. Bond buying by governments will increase demand for gold even as the commodity is "going through one of its periodic adjustments".

Thursday 18 April 2013

DONT BUY GOLD.....

Gold’s dropping. You want to buy.

But wait just a minute...

Is your desire to buy gold now based on reasonable analysis of market conditions? Or is it simply an emotional reaction to the selloff?

“Markets are doing well so people head in that direction. But for the long-term, I’m a buyer. I think there’s a lot of inflation coming. So I’ll slowly buy in expecting lower priced and will be excited when they fall. But later I’ll expect higher prices and will be excited as they rise... sort of.”

Apply this line of thinking to gold. The gold market was booming. So naturally, people headed in its direction. Investors, traders, hedge funds and your crazy coworker bought gold. People wanted to own it because of its performance. Now they are leaving. And they won’t be rushing back to buy anytime soon.

I repeat -- don’t jump back into gold. It’s too soon.

If you are well versed in trading, you could try to play a snapback move in gold futures or miners.

If that’s your game, keep tight stops and expect the unexpected. This thing is just getting started...