Besides, speaking from experience, this is the first time in almost
10 years that we can remember gold being a hated asset. It was hated
in the early part of the decade for all the same reasons: It had no
real economic use... it produced no yield, but imposed storage
costs... it didn’t do anything other than sit there and look pretty
in a cold, dark room.
The people who didn’t understand gold then don’t understand it now. The only difference today is that the horrible price action has brought out the gold bears from the woodwork. They are exacting their verbal revenge. The crowd is bleating for lower prices.
Of course, it could be that we are so embedded in our own position, so wedded to our own beliefs and so complacent after 12 years of rising bullion prices that we’re incapable of considering the evidence in front of us. It is possible we’re refusing to see the gold bear market because we’re emotionally attached to a long-term gold bull market.
Yes, of course, it’s possible. It’s important to know your limitations as a human being and not to mistake good fortune with personal brilliance. But we suspect gold’s days as the premier monetary asset are far from over. In fact, we suspect that gold will be around long after the yen, euro and dollar are being used for toilet paper.
Even artists -- not famous for their interest in financial matters - - seem to know this. One of the exhibits we relished at Hobart’s Museum of Old and New Art took some time to sort out. This is as it should be with a good piece of art, whether it’s a book, a movie or something else. The meaning -- if there is one -- shouldn’t come right out and hit you on the head. If it’s too obvious, it’s either a soup label or a traffic signal.
The exhibit in question looked like a long line of leaf patterns on colored paper, at least from a distance. As you got closer -- and you’d have to lean in really close to examine the paper each leaf was matted on -- you could see that the colored paper was really a collage of old paper currencies. Most of them were from places in South America or Southeast Asia.
This work of art conveys many different emotions and messages, depending greatly upon the individual mind that absorbs it. But for the narrow purposes of today’s essay, the leaves of defunct paper currencies convey a monetary, and perhaps ecological, message. All those forests cut down to make paper currencies that are worthless. Something real turned into something unreal. Something valuable lost; nothing worthwhile gained. That is one meaning you might extract from this canvas.
Paper money possesses value only because everyone tacitly agrees that it does. When that agreement breaks down, the money becomes worthless. That’s why paper money is ephemeral, everywhere and always. It has always come and gone through history, because those who print it cannot resist the temptation to print more. They always do.
But gold is untreelike. It doesn’t grow on trees. And you can’t extract more of it from a printing press. That’s why people have always used it as a store of wealth and a medium of exchange. Its physical properties give it a reliability you can never get from paper money that’s backed by nothing but the “full faith and credit” of a government.
Are we articulating an overly orthodox or unfashionable view of money? It certainly looks like it, based on the last few days of trading in the gold market. Does gold care? Not a jot. Will today’s paper currencies be the museum exhibits of tomorrow? Only if they don’t all get burned to produce something useful first, like heat.
For now, however, all the heat is on gold owners.
The people who didn’t understand gold then don’t understand it now. The only difference today is that the horrible price action has brought out the gold bears from the woodwork. They are exacting their verbal revenge. The crowd is bleating for lower prices.
Of course, it could be that we are so embedded in our own position, so wedded to our own beliefs and so complacent after 12 years of rising bullion prices that we’re incapable of considering the evidence in front of us. It is possible we’re refusing to see the gold bear market because we’re emotionally attached to a long-term gold bull market.
Yes, of course, it’s possible. It’s important to know your limitations as a human being and not to mistake good fortune with personal brilliance. But we suspect gold’s days as the premier monetary asset are far from over. In fact, we suspect that gold will be around long after the yen, euro and dollar are being used for toilet paper.
Even artists -- not famous for their interest in financial matters - - seem to know this. One of the exhibits we relished at Hobart’s Museum of Old and New Art took some time to sort out. This is as it should be with a good piece of art, whether it’s a book, a movie or something else. The meaning -- if there is one -- shouldn’t come right out and hit you on the head. If it’s too obvious, it’s either a soup label or a traffic signal.
The exhibit in question looked like a long line of leaf patterns on colored paper, at least from a distance. As you got closer -- and you’d have to lean in really close to examine the paper each leaf was matted on -- you could see that the colored paper was really a collage of old paper currencies. Most of them were from places in South America or Southeast Asia.
This work of art conveys many different emotions and messages, depending greatly upon the individual mind that absorbs it. But for the narrow purposes of today’s essay, the leaves of defunct paper currencies convey a monetary, and perhaps ecological, message. All those forests cut down to make paper currencies that are worthless. Something real turned into something unreal. Something valuable lost; nothing worthwhile gained. That is one meaning you might extract from this canvas.
Paper money possesses value only because everyone tacitly agrees that it does. When that agreement breaks down, the money becomes worthless. That’s why paper money is ephemeral, everywhere and always. It has always come and gone through history, because those who print it cannot resist the temptation to print more. They always do.
But gold is untreelike. It doesn’t grow on trees. And you can’t extract more of it from a printing press. That’s why people have always used it as a store of wealth and a medium of exchange. Its physical properties give it a reliability you can never get from paper money that’s backed by nothing but the “full faith and credit” of a government.
Are we articulating an overly orthodox or unfashionable view of money? It certainly looks like it, based on the last few days of trading in the gold market. Does gold care? Not a jot. Will today’s paper currencies be the museum exhibits of tomorrow? Only if they don’t all get burned to produce something useful first, like heat.
For now, however, all the heat is on gold owners.
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